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How to Trade Forex News

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There are three strategies you can use to trade the Forex news. These strategies include identifying the support and resistance levels, identifying consensus signs, and trading in the hours following the release. Here are some general tips to help you make the most of your news trading experience. Remember not to trade right after a news release unless it has strong confirmation. If you are trading during volatile markets, it’s best to avoid triggering your stop before the trend begins.

Strategies for trading forex news

Traders can trade Forex based on news. While it is a bit easier to trade forex based on currencies paired with the US dollar, cryptocurrency traders have to be extra cautious. Often, the news will cause big moves in a particular currency pair and traders will want to be in the right place when they happen. For this reason, trading strategies that depend on news are not ideal for novice traders. 

You can use other methods, such as the non-directional approach, to help you trade effectively. A successful strategy for trading Forex based on news releases involves finding the event that will impact an asset the most. Typically, the more significant the event, the higher the volatility. The best strategy for news trading involves researching the news before it happens and setting deferred orders. 

There are three stages to this process. Traders use economic calendars and actively monitor the major news channels. However, the first step in using this strategy is to
choose a pair of currency pairs. A common mistake that traders make when trading on forex is using news before it’s released. 

Many Forex traders place their orders days or even hours before news is released. By doing so, they minimize their risk and can focus on a shorter timeframe. Using news before it’s released can help you trade on currency pairs and maximize your profits. If you trade on the news before it’s released, you’ll find it easier to trade based on this news.

Identifying seasonality

There is a strong correlation between the price of a currency pair and the calendar month it was released for. Seasonality is also a factor in the market behavior of a number of industries. For example, retail sales of the U.S. typically decline during the winter months. The lagging December 2018 Retail Sales report was a prime example of seasonality in action. 

The unexpected 1.2% decrease sparked a sell-off of the U.S. stock indices. While there was no clear cause, seasonality can be useful in predicting trends, filtering trade ideas, and identifying tradable opportunities. Even though it is difficult to pin-point the exact reasons for seasonality in a currency pair, you can use the general trend to make predictions and avoid trading in the wrong direction. 

While seasonality is an important factor when trading forex, it is also very important to remember that it does not apply in all markets. It may be a powerful tool to time your trades and learn how to identify patterns. Although the markets are dynamic, you can still identify seasonality when trading forex news releases. This knowledge can be of great assistance in trading. 

If you can identify the seasonality patterns in price activity without using indicators, you will have an easier time determining when to enter and exit a position. When trading the USD/JPY, you should try to identify when the currency pair’s returns show the most seasonality. 

The Japanese yen tends to rise on August days, and other currencies typically fall against it in August. The same applies to EUR/JPY. For the USD/CAD pair, the seasonality is strongest in October and November. The eurozone stocks also exhibit strong seasonality during the summer months.

Identifying seasonality's impact on currency markets

Understanding currency market seasonality is a key skill for successful forex traders. The currency market goes through cycles that can support your trading ideas, or help you avoid losing trades altogether. These patterns are often driven by macroeconomic forces such as interest rates, inflation, and trade wars, but they can be unpredictable, as well. Understanding these patterns can help you time your trades appropriately. 

But, before you get started, you must understand the concept of seasonality first. A seasonal pattern is a trend that repeats itself every year at the same time. Although historical patterns do not duplicate 100% of the time, they are considered statistically significant. For example, the USD/JPY ended October higher than it started, illustrating the impact of seasonality on currency prices. 

It isn’t easy to pinpoint the exact cause of this seasonality, but it can help you identify high probability trades. Another important aspect of currency markets is seasonality. US dollar values typically fall in the first half of December, while they appreciate during the second half. 

In January, the trend reverses itself, signaling a turn in the cycle. In addition, currency markets also exhibit anti periods and reversals. However, this phenomenon isn’t universal. In general, currency markets follow a seasonal pattern.